V-Lab
D.L.S.I. GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
23.77%
decreased by 0.71%
1 Week
26.51%
increased by 2.03%
1 Month
31.21%
increased by 6.73%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 08:08 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2006 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5736 | 16.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1796 | 20.65*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7016 | 58.17*** |
Persistence:
0.881
Half-life:
5 days
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