V-Lab
D.L.S.I. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.05%
increased by 0.68%
1 Week
26.44%
increased by 3.07%
1 Month
29.82%
increased by 6.45%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 26, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026Stationarity Enforced
Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 71 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1226 | 10.34*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6811 | 39.59*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0728 | 4.38*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0647 | 1.09 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0124 | 1.27 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9732 | 43.96*** |
Persistence:
0.840
Half-life:
4 days
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