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V-Lab

D.L.S.I. MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.05%

increased by 0.68%

1 Week

26.44%

increased by 3.07%

1 Month

29.82%

increased by 6.45%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:10 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of D.L.S.I. MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2006 to Aug 21, 2026
Stationarity Enforced

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 59% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

71
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1226
10.34***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6811
39.59***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0728
4.38***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0647
1.09
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0124
1.27
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9732
43.96***

Persistence:

0.840

Half-life:

4 days