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V-Lab

D.L.S.I. APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

27.06%

decreased by 1.80%

1 Week

28.81%

decreased by 0.05%

1 Month

31.93%

increased by 3.07%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 06:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of D.L.S.I. APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 26, 2006 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.6025
2.33**
αARCH0.1712
3.56***
βGARCH0.7012
14.42***
γleverage0.1016
1.18
δpower2.0801
4.29***

0.880

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6025
2.33**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1712
3.56***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7012
14.42***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1016
1.18
δ

power

Transformation power

2.0801
4.29***

Persistence:

0.880

Half-life:

5 days