V-Lab
AnHui Higasket Plastics Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
47.79%
decreased by 1.98%
1 Week
47.12%
decreased by 2.65%
1 Month
45.44%
decreased by 4.33%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2022 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.5879 | 9.84*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1301 | 15.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7899 | 58.89*** |
Persistence:
0.920
Half-life:
8 days
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