V-Lab
Alice Queen Limited GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
192.99%
increased by 25.22%
1 Week
190.83%
increased by 23.06%
1 Month
183.73%
increased by 15.96%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 05:51 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 9, 2004 to Aug 7, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 20 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 20 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3825 | 10.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0778 | 23.60*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8878 | 187.49*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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