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V-Lab

Alice Queen Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

168.40%

decreased by 8.30%

1 Week

167.08%

decreased by 9.62%

1 Month

163.88%

decreased by 12.82%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 05:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Alice Queen Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 9, 2004 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0785
17.59***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8675
79.37***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0006
0.10
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.7836
0.97
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0166
1.14
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9751
40.62***

Persistence:

0.946

Half-life:

13 days