V-Lab
Kaleon SpA GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
13.94%
decreased by 0.54%
1 Week
14.65%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
15.22%
increased by 0.74%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 07:39 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 1, 2025 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3026 | 5.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1173 | 5.23*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5625 | 7.38*** |
Persistence:
0.680
Half-life:
2 days
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