V-Lab
Nissan Motor Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
44.19%
decreased by 1.29%
1 Week
44.24%
decreased by 1.24%
1 Month
44.39%
decreased by 1.09%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 07:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 10, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 92 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0654 | 17.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0854 | 39.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9071 | 429.71*** |
Persistence:
0.992
Half-life:
92 days
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