V-Lab
Nissan Motor Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
48.90%
decreased by 2.09%
1 Week
48.87%
decreased by 2.12%
1 Month
48.77%
decreased by 2.22%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 11:13 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 100 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 148% more than positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0607 | 21.22*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0468 | 20.44*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9116 | 493.04*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0693 | 11.61*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
100 days
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