Sats As MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.01%
decreased by 2.19%
1 Week
27.68%
increased by 0.48%
1 Month
33.74%
increased by 6.54%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 07:57 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 23, 2019 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4599 | 7.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2945 | 20.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6400 | 70.28*** |
Persistence:
0.935
Half-life:
10 days
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