V-Lab
Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
44.60%
decreased by 3.56%
1 Week
45.01%
decreased by 3.15%
1 Month
46.32%
decreased by 1.84%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 06:29 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2000 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3019 | 12.88*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2018 | 42.03*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7693 | 203.84*** |
Persistence:
0.971
Half-life:
24 days
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