Skip to main content
V-Lab

Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

43.44%

decreased by 2.62%

1 Week

43.69%

decreased by 2.37%

1 Month

44.57%

decreased by 1.49%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:33 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 49 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 49 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.23 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.5434
4.04***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0845
32.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9859
278.58***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.2281
12.34***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days