V-Lab
Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
44.03%
decreased by 1.90%
1 Week
44.19%
decreased by 1.74%
1 Month
44.68%
decreased by 1.25%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 30, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2376 | 19.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1013 | 20.78*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8836 | 278.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0247 | -3.39*** |
Persistence:
0.973
Half-life:
25 days
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