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V-Lab

Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

44.03%

decreased by 1.90%

1 Week

44.19%

decreased by 1.74%

1 Month

44.68%

decreased by 1.25%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2376
19.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1013
20.78***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8836
278.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0247
-3.39***

Persistence:

0.973

Half-life:

25 days