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V-Lab

Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

42.91%

decreased by 1.99%

1 Week

43.37%

decreased by 1.53%

1 Month

44.50%

decreased by 0.40%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 06:34 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Inner Mongolia North Hauler JSC Ltd S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 30, 2000 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 9 trading days.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7414
6.22***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1006
8.32***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8259
38.34***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=6
γ10.0880
2.50**
γ2-0.1768
-3.42***
γ30.1311
4.05***
γ4-0.0748
-2.38**
γ50.0713
2.13**
γ6-0.0555
-2.15**

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days