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V-Lab

Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

71.59%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Week

71.25%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Month

69.96%

decreased by 2.43%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 21, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1017
6.12***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0342
11.76***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9731
474.47***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0342
-9.09***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

71 days