V-Lab
Kunlun Tech Co Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
71.59%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
71.25%
decreased by 1.14%
1 Month
69.96%
decreased by 2.43%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 21, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1017 | 6.12*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0342 | 11.76*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9731 | 474.47*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0342 | -9.09*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
71 days
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