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V-Lab

Kunlun Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

71.19%

decreased by 0.79%

1 Week

70.84%

decreased by 1.14%

1 Month

69.53%

decreased by 2.45%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 07:56 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kunlun Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 21, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 69 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

126
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0335
10.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9733
220.26***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0335
-8.46***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.2005
0.84
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9803
55.19***

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

69 days