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V-Lab

Kunlun Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

68.53%

decreased by 0.69%

1 Week

68.42%

decreased by 0.80%

1 Month

67.76%

decreased by 1.46%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Kunlun Tech Co Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 21, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 72 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Inverse leverage: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0291
7.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9759
231.52***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0291
-8.78***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

8.5044
0.08
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.1579
0.07
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.990

Half-life:

72 days