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V-Lab

Kunlun Tech Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

97.91%

decreased by 5.52%

1 Week

95.31%

decreased by 8.12%

1 Month

86.92%

decreased by 16.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:22 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Kunlun Tech Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Feb 5, 2015 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 25% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5837
14.75***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1666
21.30***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8073
139.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0331
-2.15**

Persistence:

0.957

Half-life:

16 days