Vinpearl JSC GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
29.30%
decreased by 1.75%
1 Week
32.91%
increased by 1.86%
1 Month
39.73%
increased by 8.68%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 08:30 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 21, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8238 | 11.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2636 | 28.55*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6387 | 43.78*** |
Persistence:
0.902
Half-life:
7 days
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