V-Lab
Carraro India Limited Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
38.80%
increased by 6.21%
1 Week
39.46%
increased by 6.87%
1 Month
41.82%
increased by 9.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.1648 | 2.47** |
| αARCH | 0.1635 | 2.87*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8581 | 23.80*** |
| γleverage | -0.0639 | -0.84 |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1648 | 2.47** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1635 | 2.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8581 | 23.80*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0639 | -0.84 |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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