V-Lab
Carraro India Limited GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
40.99%
decreased by 0.44%
1 Week
42.17%
increased by 0.74%
1 Month
45.64%
increased by 4.21%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:41 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 17 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 17 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 17-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.4654 | 0.60 |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.9109 | 17.26*** |
| γleverage | 0.0995 | 0.81 |
0.961
Persistence17d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.4654 | 0.60 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9109 | 17.26*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0995 | 0.81 |
Persistence:
0.961
Half-life:
17 days
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