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V-Lab

Carraro India Limited Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

32.66%

increased by 3.60%

1 Week

32.22%

increased by 3.16%

1 Month

32.08%

increased by 3.02%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Carraro India Limited S0GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 1 trading day.

τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.7065
3.49***
αARCH0.1539
1.43
βGARCH0.1401
0.72
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-33.3804
-4.29***
γ248.2404
3.88***
γ3-14.9370
-1.39
γ4-5.6597
-0.52
γ59.0428
1.19

0.294

Persistence

1d

Half-life
τ

Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.7065
3.49***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1539
1.43
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1401
0.72
γi Spline Coefficients
K=5
γ1-33.3804
-4.29***
γ248.2404
3.88***
γ3-14.9370
-1.39
γ4-5.6597
-0.52
γ59.0428
1.19

Persistence:

0.294

Half-life:

1 days