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Carraro India Limited GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

39.70%

increased by 2.55%

1 Week

40.89%

increased by 3.74%

1 Month

44.32%

increased by 7.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Carraro India Limited GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.17 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-lifev = 3.17 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst10.9610
0.49
αARCH0.0527
1.28
βGARCH0.9579
14.78***
νDF3.1726
0.70

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

10.9610
0.49
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0527
1.28
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9579
14.78***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.1726
0.70

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days