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V-Lab

Carraro India Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

37.43%

decreased by 0.01%

1 Week

42.27%

increased by 4.83%

1 Month

43.84%

increased by 6.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Carraro India Limited MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
mwindow31
αARCH0.0000
0.00
βGARCH0.1197
1.19
γleverage0.5000
1.64
λ₁tau intercept7.6900
0.58
λ₂forecast adj.0.0152
0.23
λ₃tau persistence0.0000
0.00

0.370

Persistence

1d

Half-life
σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

31
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0000
0.00
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.1197
1.19
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.5000
1.64
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.6900
0.58
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0152
0.23
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.370

Half-life:

1 days