V-Lab
Carraro India Limited MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
37.43%
decreased by 0.01%
1 Week
42.27%
increased by 4.83%
1 Month
43.84%
increased by 6.40%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 2024 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 1 trading day, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 1 day.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 1-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 31 | |
| αARCH | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
| βGARCH | 0.1197 | 1.19 |
| γleverage | 0.5000 | 1.64 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 7.6900 | 0.58 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0152 | 0.23 |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
0.370
Persistence1d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 31 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.1197 | 1.19 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 1.64 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.6900 | 0.58 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0152 | 0.23 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.370
Half-life:
1 days
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