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V-Lab

Upc Technology Corp AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

35.32%

decreased by 0.90%

1 Week

35.51%

decreased by 0.71%

1 Month

36.22%

decreased by 0.00%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:25 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Upc Technology Corp AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 106 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~106 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0586
4.76***
αARCH0.0678
12.15***
βGARCH0.9256
166.48***
γleverage-0.0431
-0.16

0.993

Persistence

106d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0586
4.76***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0678
12.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9256
166.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0431
-0.16

Persistence:

0.993

Half-life:

106 days