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V-Lab

Saudi Arabian Coop Insurance APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

35.43%

decreased by 1.61%

1 Week

36.06%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Month

38.02%

increased by 0.98%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 08:01 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Saudi Arabian Coop Insurance APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 12, 2007 to Aug 13, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 40% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1732
13.35***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0910
27.40***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8853
206.80***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1063
5.83***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5709
26.39***

Persistence:

0.965

Half-life:

20 days