V-Lab
Saudi Arabian Coop Insurance GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
33.04%
decreased by 0.05%
1 Week
33.57%
increased by 0.48%
1 Month
35.13%
increased by 2.04%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 12, 2007 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 42% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2670 | 17.89*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0691 | 17.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8718 | 199.49*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0290 | 3.46*** |
Persistence:
0.955
Half-life:
15 days
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