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V-Lab

Madala Holdings Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.46%

increased by 2.99%

1 Week

45.72%

increased by 4.25%

1 Month

48.31%

increased by 6.84%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Madala Holdings Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 25% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.0000
4.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1417
26.13***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7565
46.49***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0574
-4.09***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.9420
16.96***

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days