V-Lab
Madala Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
45.42%
increased by 2.18%
1 Week
46.73%
increased by 3.49%
1 Month
49.07%
increased by 5.83%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 29% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3455 | 9.30*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1828 | 16.90*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7066 | 50.28*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0408 | -2.23** |
Persistence:
0.869
Half-life:
5 days
Other Madala Holdings Ltd Analyses
Other GJR-GARCH Analyses on International Equities