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V-Lab

Madala Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

45.42%

increased by 2.18%

1 Week

46.73%

increased by 3.49%

1 Month

49.07%

increased by 5.83%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Madala Holdings Ltd GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 29% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.3455
9.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1828
16.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7066
50.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0408
-2.23**

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days