V-Lab
Madala Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
3,705.22%
increased by 451.10%
1 Week
3,701.57%
increased by 447.45%
1 Month
3,687.04%
increased by 432.92%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Sep 29, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 822.1111 | 8.02*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1397 | 311.05*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9990 | 7,928.57*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0001 |
Persistence:
0.999
Half-life:
693 days
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