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V-Lab

Madala Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

3,705.22%

increased by 451.10%

1 Week

3,701.57%

increased by 447.45%

1 Month

3,687.04%

increased by 432.92%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 08:28 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Madala Holdings Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2008 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

822.1111
8.02***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1397
311.05***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9990
7,928.57***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0001

Persistence:

0.999

Half-life:

693 days