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V-Lab

Madala Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

45.92%

increased by 3.09%

1 Week

46.17%

increased by 3.34%

1 Month

47.90%

increased by 5.07%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Madala Holdings Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Sep 29, 2008 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 67% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2066
24.87***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.4568
6.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0831
-10.34***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

5.4195
0.48
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.2999
0.29
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.1101
0.05

Persistence:

0.622

Half-life:

1 days