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V-Lab

Giant Biogene Holding Co APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

47.41%

increased by 5.76%

1 Week

47.50%

increased by 5.85%

1 Month

47.76%

increased by 6.11%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Giant Biogene Holding Co APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3608
4.36***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0519
7.57***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8901
91.10***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2493
3.24***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5666
10.06***

Persistence:

0.937

Half-life:

11 days