V-Lab
Giant Biogene Holding Co APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
47.41%
increased by 5.76%
1 Week
47.50%
increased by 5.85%
1 Month
47.76%
increased by 6.11%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:45 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 2022 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 122% more than equivalent positive returns. The volatility power δ = 1.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3608 | 4.36*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0519 | 7.57*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8901 | 91.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2493 | 3.24*** |
δ power Transformation power | 1.5666 | 10.06*** |
Persistence:
0.937
Half-life:
11 days
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