Giant Biogene Holding Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
44.19%
decreased by 0.50%
1 Week
44.43%
decreased by 0.26%
1 Month
45.20%
increased by 0.51%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 289% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 51 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0134 | 1.44 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8821 | 18.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0388 | 4.76*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 7.8825 | 0.01 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0615 | 0.01 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Persistence:
0.915
Half-life:
8 days
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