Skip to main content
V-Lab

Giant Biogene Holding Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026

1 Day

44.19%

decreased by 0.50%

1 Week

44.43%

decreased by 0.26%

1 Month

45.20%

increased by 0.51%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:44 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

All

graph of Giant Biogene Holding Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 2022 to Jul 10, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 289% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

51
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0134
1.44
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8821
18.94***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0388
4.76***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

7.8825
0.01
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0615
0.01
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days