V-Lab
Sam Holdings Corporation APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
20.42%
decreased by 0.93%
1 Week
22.31%
increased by 0.96%
1 Month
27.91%
increased by 6.56%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. The volatility power δ = 1.45 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1561 | 19.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1581 | 38.88*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8279 | 184.25*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0193 | 1.44 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.4530 | 25.57*** |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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