Skip to main content
V-Lab

Sam Holdings Corporation APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

20.42%

decreased by 0.93%

1 Week

22.31%

increased by 0.96%

1 Month

27.91%

increased by 6.56%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Sam Holdings Corporation APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 21, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days. The volatility power δ = 1.45 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1561
19.17***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1581
38.88***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8279
184.25***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0193
1.44
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4530
25.57***

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days