V-Lab
Sam Holdings Corporation Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
19.88%
decreased by 0.70%
1 Week
21.67%
increased by 1.09%
1 Month
24.96%
increased by 4.38%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 6 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Time-varying baseline: volatility reverts to a slowly-shifting spline trend
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.0642 | 4.82*** |
| αARCH | 0.1684 | 8.70*** |
| βGARCH | 0.7209 | 21.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.4495 | -2.18** |
| γ2 | 0.7413 | 2.44** |
| γ3 | -0.3875 | -2.12** |
| γ4 | -0.0491 | -0.31 |
| γ5 | 0.3437 | 2.18** |
| γ6 | -0.3919 | -1.83* |
| γ7 | 0.6621 | 2.46** |
| γ8 | -1.0139 | -4.07*** |
| γ9 | 0.7461 | 3.77*** |
| γ10 | -0.1903 | -1.39 |
0.889
Persistence6d
Half-lifeτ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0642 | 4.82*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1684 | 8.70*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7209 | 21.32*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=10
| γ1 | -0.4495 | -2.18** |
| γ2 | 0.7413 | 2.44** |
| γ3 | -0.3875 | -2.12** |
| γ4 | -0.0491 | -0.31 |
| γ5 | 0.3437 | 2.18** |
| γ6 | -0.3919 | -1.83* |
| γ7 | 0.6621 | 2.46** |
| γ8 | -1.0139 | -4.07*** |
| γ9 | 0.7461 | 3.77*** |
| γ10 | -0.1903 | -1.39 |
Persistence:
0.889
Half-life:
6 days
Other Sam Holdings Corporation Analyses
Other Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities