V-Lab
Sam Holdings Corporation GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
20.16%
decreased by 0.67%
1 Week
21.96%
increased by 1.13%
1 Month
27.18%
increased by 6.35%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 21, 2007 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 26 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 26 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1965 | 20.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1545 | 39.02*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8195 | 200.56*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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