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V-Lab
V-Lab

Estun Automation Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

77.13%

decreased by 0.60%

1 Week

79.43%

increased by 1.70%

1 Month

86.84%

increased by 9.11%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Estun Automation Co Ltd GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.

σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.2922
0.98
αARCH0.0817
1.80*
βGARCH0.8945
12.02***

0.976

Persistence

29d

Half-life
σ

GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2922
0.98
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0817
1.80*
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8945
12.02***

Persistence:

0.976

Half-life:

29 days