V-Lab
Estun Automation Co Ltd GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
77.13%
decreased by 0.60%
1 Week
79.43%
increased by 1.70%
1 Month
86.84%
increased by 9.11%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 29 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 29 days.
σ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 29-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 1.2922 | 0.98 |
| αARCH | 0.0817 | 1.80* |
| βGARCH | 0.8945 | 12.02*** |
0.976
Persistence29d
Half-lifeσ
GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2922 | 0.98 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0817 | 1.80* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8945 | 12.02*** |
Persistence:
0.976
Half-life:
29 days
Other Estun Automation Co Ltd Analyses
Other GARCH Analyses on International Equities