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V-Lab
V-Lab

Estun Automation Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

44.95%

decreased by 2.41%

1 Week

47.87%

increased by 0.51%

1 Month

55.81%

increased by 8.45%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

All

graph of Estun Automation Co Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 16 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 16 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 16-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.9001
0.32
αARCH0.2733
1.24
βGARCH0.6842
8.05***

0.958

Persistence

16d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.9001
0.32
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2733
1.24
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6842
8.05***

Persistence:

0.958

Half-life:

16 days