V-Lab
Estun Automation Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
112.18%
decreased by 0.34%
1 Week
102.97%
decreased by 9.55%
1 Month
93.97%
decreased by 18.55%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 9, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8987 | 3.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2175 | 3.93*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7408 | 14.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.5000 | 8.70*** |
Persistence:
0.741
Half-life:
2 days
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