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Estun Automation Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

0.05%

decreased by 6.61%

1 Week

0.12%

decreased by 6.54%

1 Month

1.93%

decreased by 4.73%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 07:17 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Estun Automation Co Ltd EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 9, 2026 to Oct 9, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1333
0.21
αARCH-0.3561
-0.02
βGARCH0.9515
716.48***
γleverage0.3493
0.02

0.951

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1333
0.21
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

-0.3561
-0.02
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9515
716.48***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.3493
0.02

Persistence:

0.951

Half-life:

14 days