Deutsche Bank AG EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026
1 Day
33.48%
decreased by 1.26%
1 Week
33.63%
decreased by 1.11%
1 Month
34.19%
decreased by 0.55%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 03:08 AM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 67 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 67 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 67-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0199 | 3.85*** |
| αARCH | 0.1218 | 7.48*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9896 | 508.55*** |
| γleverage | -0.0293 | -1.70* |
0.990
Persistence67d
Half-lifeσ
EGARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0199 | 3.85*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1218 | 7.48*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9896 | 508.55*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0293 | -1.70* |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
67 days
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