Skip to main content
V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

27.55%

decreased by 0.44%

1 Week

25.70%

decreased by 2.29%

1 Month

20.80%

decreased by 7.19%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG APMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days. The volatility power δ = 0.57 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

μ

APMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0338
29.15***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1976
66.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7942
297.91***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0810
13.17***
δ

power

Transformation power

0.5715
13.62***

Persistence:

0.955

Half-life:

15 days