V-Lab
SK Hynix Inc Asy. Power MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
74.59%
decreased by 1.55%
1 Week
74.35%
decreased by 1.79%
1 Month
73.43%
decreased by 2.71%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:34 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1997 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.993, volatility shocks have a half-life of 98 trading days (~0.4 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
APMEM Model
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High persistence: persistence 0.993, shock half-life ~98 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0771 | 1.71* |
| αARCH | 0.1352 | 9.40*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8614 | 96.32*** |
| γleverage | 0.0292 | 1.26 |
| δpower | 1.9216 | 4.18*** |
0.993
Persistence98d
Half-lifeμ
APMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0771 | 1.71* |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1352 | 9.40*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8614 | 96.32*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0292 | 1.26 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9216 | 4.18*** |
Persistence:
0.993
Half-life:
98 days
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