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V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

27.08%

increased by 1.12%

1 Week

27.34%

increased by 1.38%

1 Month

28.36%

increased by 2.40%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 408 trading days (~1.6 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.998, shock half-life ~408 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0335
6.80***
αARCH0.1410
9.53***
βGARCH0.8345
99.28***
γleverage0.0455
1.92*

0.998

Persistence

408d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
6.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1410
9.53***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8345
99.28***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0455
1.92*

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

408 days