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V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

28.84%

decreased by 1.06%

1 Week

29.09%

decreased by 0.81%

1 Month

30.04%

increased by 0.14%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:48 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.998, volatility shocks have a half-life of 442 trading days (~1.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 32% more than positive returns

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0335
27.13***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1417
38.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8342
396.12***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0451
7.61***

Persistence:

0.998

Half-life:

442 days