V-Lab
Nodestream Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
160.17%
decreased by 1.61%
1 Week
153.65%
decreased by 8.13%
1 Month
137.71%
decreased by 24.07%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 05:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 12, 2016 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 57% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 16.09*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2001 | 14.86*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7435 | 84.75*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0729 | -3.18*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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