Skip to main content
V-Lab
V-Lab

Deutsche Bank AG MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

27.23%

increased by 0.69%

1 Week

27.55%

increased by 1.01%

1 Month

28.77%

increased by 2.23%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Deutsche Bank AG MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 3591 trading days (~14.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3591 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0347
2.46**
αARCH0.1742
14.47***
βGARCH0.8257
97.54***

1.000

Persistence

3591d

Half-life
μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0347
2.46**
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1742
14.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8257
97.54***

Persistence:

1.000

Half-life:

3591 days