V-Lab
Deutsche Bank AG MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
27.23%
increased by 0.69%
1 Week
27.55%
increased by 1.01%
1 Month
28.77%
increased by 2.23%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:09 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 1.000, volatility shocks have a half-life of 3591 trading days (~14.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
High persistence: persistence 1.000, shock half-life ~3591 days
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0347 | 2.46** |
| αARCH | 0.1742 | 14.47*** |
| βGARCH | 0.8257 | 97.54*** |
1.000
Persistence3591d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0347 | 2.46** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1742 | 14.47*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8257 | 97.54*** |
Persistence:
1.000
Half-life:
3591 days
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