V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
130.72%
decreased by 5.25%
1 Week
128.42%
decreased by 7.55%
1 Month
123.03%
decreased by 12.94%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 2.27** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1116 | 3.04*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7955 | 47.85*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
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