V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026
1 Day
92.90%
increased by 1.16%
1 Week
97.24%
increased by 5.50%
1 Month
106.43%
increased by 14.69%
Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:40 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 0.50 |
| αARCH | 0.1471 | 0.96 |
| βGARCH | 0.7595 | 11.19*** |
0.907
Persistence7d
Half-lifeμ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 0.50 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1471 | 0.96 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7595 | 11.19*** |
Persistence:
0.907
Half-life:
7 days
Other MEM Analyses on International Equities