V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
125.51%
decreased by 12.02%
1 Week
121.17%
decreased by 16.36%
1 Month
112.09%
decreased by 25.44%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to negative shocks. The ARCH response to positive shocks is negligible.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 4.25*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0355 | 1.57 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7473 | 41.96*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.1979 | 4.54*** |
Persistence:
0.882
Half-life:
6 days
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