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V-Lab

Esteem Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

117.14%

increased by 27.49%

1 Week

114.24%

increased by 24.59%

1 Month

108.29%

increased by 18.64%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

All

graph of Esteem Co Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst5.0000
1.40
αARCH0.0712
0.90
βGARCH0.6960
7.82***
γleverage0.2268
1.37

0.881

Persistence

5d

Half-life
μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
1.40
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0712
0.90
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6960
7.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2268
1.37

Persistence:

0.881

Half-life:

5 days