Esteem Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026
1 Day
117.14%
increased by 27.49%
1 Week
114.24%
increased by 24.59%
1 Month
108.29%
increased by 18.64%
Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Oct 8, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
μ
AMEM Model
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Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 5.0000 | 1.40 |
| αARCH | 0.0712 | 0.90 |
| βGARCH | 0.6960 | 7.82*** |
| γleverage | 0.2268 | 1.37 |
0.881
Persistence5d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 1.40 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0712 | 0.90 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6960 | 7.82*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.2268 | 1.37 |
Persistence:
0.881
Half-life:
5 days
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