V-Lab
Esteem Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
89.78%
increased by 0.12%
1 Week
89.26%
decreased by 0.40%
1 Month
88.09%
decreased by 1.57%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:55 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Mar 6, 2026 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.3090 | 3.05*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0561 | 1.96* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9090 | 30.94*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0021 | -0.07 |
Persistence:
0.909
Half-life:
7 days
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