V-Lab
Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd EGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
52.73%
increased by 1.29%
1 Week
53.44%
increased by 2.00%
1 Month
55.73%
increased by 4.29%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 18% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
EGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1114 | 11.38*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1809 | 21.67*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9594 | 247.71*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0150 | 2.60*** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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