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V-Lab

Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

50.23%

increased by 1.02%

1 Week

51.01%

increased by 1.80%

1 Month

53.51%

increased by 4.30%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 22% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.40 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.2262
9.11***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0917
18.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8888
140.16***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0715
-2.79***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.3967
16.11***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days