V-Lab
Anhui Tatfook Technology Co Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
40.61%
decreased by 1.92%
1 Week
43.11%
increased by 0.58%
1 Month
49.09%
increased by 6.56%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 06:26 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Oct 26, 2010 to Jul 31, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 10 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 10 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.8852 | 3.55*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2085 | 9.38*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7242 | 96.07*** |
Persistence:
0.933
Half-life:
10 days
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